ERNA Polymarket Weather Engine

Forecast the weather. Win the market. Polymarket.

The most accurate forecasting engine for Polymarket weather markets.

Our AI model is currently the most precise tool for predicting weather markets on Polymarket. We deliver highly accurate probabilities for temperature, rainfall, hurricanes, snowfall and hundreds of other weather events — often days or even weeks ahead of time.

Compare our model probabilities to live market odds and trade with an edge. In real time, you'll see exactly where the market is wrong. The biggest gaps between our forecasts and Polymarket prices are your edge.

No guesswork. Just pure, data-driven advantages that let you consistently profit on Polymarket's fastest-growing markets.

Ready to trade weather like a pro? Join the traders already winning with us.

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NO token model

Probability the event does NOT happen, derived from our raw forecast.

YES token model

Probability the event DOES happen, calibrated against historical outcomes.

ENSEMBLE model

Blended forecast combining multiple models for the highest accuracy.

Updated onlineOnline multimodel data + EnsembleBuilt for Polymarket traders

Cities with active Polymarket weather markets

AmsterdamAnkaraAtlantaAuroraAustinBeijingBuenos AiresBusanCape TownChicagoChongqingDallasDenverGuangzhouHelsinkiHong KongHoustonIstanbulJakartaJeddahKarachiKuala LumpurLagosLondonLos AngelesLucknowMadridManilaMexico CityMiamiMilanMoscowMunichPanama CityParisQingdaoSan FranciscoSão PauloSeattleSeoulShanghaiShenzhenSingaporeTaipeiTel AvivTokyoTorontoWarsawWellingtonWuhan